Data Sources: We use API-Football.com as our primary data source (1,180+ leagues worldwide), with Understat as a fallback for xG data in major European leagues. All data is validated and processed through our statistical pipeline.

Model: Poisson-based probability modeling with Dixon–Coles correlation for low-scoring matches, opponent‑adjusted strength ratings, and a recency‑weighted blend (exponential decay).

Coverage: Teams from any league with sufficient recent match data (typically 15–20 matches) can be analyzed. The system automatically spans multiple seasons to gather historical data.

Data Quality: We prioritize Expected Goals (xG) when available, falling back to observed goals for leagues without xG coverage. Recent matches are weighted more heavily than older ones.